Urban Moldova is splitting in two: cities that attract investment and cities that manage decline
A country's development is measured neither by its capital, where money, institutions and opportunities concentrate naturally, nor by its marginalised villages, where decline has old and structural causes.
The real test is in the small and medium-sized cities.
The data show a very clear difference: some cities lose population but gain economy. Others lose people, employees and turnover at the same time.
Demographic decline does not necessarily mean economic decline.
If companies, investment, infrastructure and economic positioning are still there, a small city can stay relevant.
At the opposite end are small cities where the decline is already economic, not only demographic. Ștefan Vodă has -23.2% population, -5.5% employees and -8.0% real turnover. Călărași has -12.4% population, -11.9% employees and -16.7% real turnover. Rezina has -15.0% population, -10.1% employees and -34.4% real turnover.
55 cities, three indicators.
Change, %. Population 2014-2024. Employees and real turnover 2019-2024.
Source: Population and Housing Censuses 2014 and 2024 (National Bureau of Statistics); NBS financial reports 2019-2024. Real turnover for 2024 is deflated by cumulative inflation of 67%.